Morning Update for Subscribers
Massive Overnight Flush, Shorts Pay Off Big
📢 Morning Update for Subscribers – Massive Overnight Flush, Shorts Pay Off Big
📊 Open Pivots:
ES: 5776
NQ: 20807
🧭 Market Overview – Tariffs Trigger a Shockwave Selloff
A wave of tariff headlines rocked the markets overnight, sending futures into a freefall. Trump announced a 50% tariff on the European Union and directly targeted $AAPL with new trade measures. The result? A violent, risk-off response across global markets.
But we were ready.
We’ve been hammering the short thesis for days, and our positioning at the highs is paying off in a big way. This is exactly what disciplined preparation looks like. Now, we manage the win.
ES flushed well below 5800, and NQ cracked through multiple layers of support to print below 20800.
📌 Key Zones to Watch
🔼 Upside Zones (Reversion Risk)
ES: 5784 → 5841
NQ: 20800 → 20950 → 21000
These levels represent the most likely short-term snapback zones. Holding above 5784 / 20800 can trigger a fast reversion move—but it’s a low probability until proven.
🔻 Downside Targets (Breakdown Continues)
ES: 5740 → 5700 → 5650
NQ: 20650 → 20500 → 20380
If sellers keep control, expect continuation flushes toward these zones. The move has already broken structure—this is now about momentum vs. intervention.
🎯 Trade Scenarios for Today
📍 Scenario 1: Stabilize Above 5784 / 20800 → Intraday Snapback Rally
If early weakness is absorbed and we see reclaim above open pivots, a bounce into 5841 / 21000 is possible.
📈 Strategy: Play it cautiously. Look for confirmation. Only go long with structure reclaim and strong tempo.
📍 Scenario 2: Breakdown Below 5776 / 20800 → Flush Resumes
If price breaks down again, continuation to 5700 / 20500 is very likely.
📉 Strategy: Favor continuation shorts on failed bounce attempts. Use momentum and structure to size accordingly.
📍 Scenario 3: Wide-Range Chop With Big Swings
We could see a volatility-driven chop day where price whipsaws between extremes.
⚖️ Strategy: Scale size down. Trade light. Prioritize account protection over trying to catch every move.
📚 Trader Wisdom – When You’re Winning, Protect It
This is where traders make or lose their month.
We nailed the short. That’s the win.
Now the mission is:
Protect profits
Avoid overtrading
Stay mentally sharp in high-volatility conditions
One oversized loss today can undo days of discipline. Don’t let that happen.
🔚 Final Thoughts – We Hit the Target. Now Defend the Win.
Watch 5784 / 20800 → Bull/bear line
Below that = continuation
Above = possible bounce, but don’t chase
Stay nimble. Protect your account. There are more trades ahead—but you only get to take them if you survive today.
#MorningUpdate #FuturesTrading #ES #NQ #AuctionMarketTheory #ShortWins #ProtectCapital #VolatilityDay