📢 Morning Update for Subscribers – Bullish Momentum Carries into Thursday
📊 Open Pivots:
$ES: 5645
$NQ: 19980
📌 Overview – Breakout Levels Holding, More Upside Unlocked?
Prices closed strong yesterday above 5561, and that confirmed the bullish continuation setup we've been tracking. It triggered fast upside follow-through into 5600, then into 5660s overnight—nearly tagging our target. We're close enough to say: target achieved ✅
Buyers now control the tape as long as key levels hold. But volatility is still elevated, and yesterday's 200+ point range for $ES gives the market plenty of room to move.
📌 Key Support Zones (For the Bull Trend to Stay Alive):
5639: The key breakout from yesterday’s power hour. Holding this = upside bias intact.
5616: Globex midpoint. Intraday dip buyers may step in here.
5585 & 5561: Minor supports from the breakout structure.
5531: Yesterday’s RTH midpoint. Break below this = trouble for bulls.
📌 Resistance & Upside Targets:
5697: Prior target, now in striking distance. A break above opens the door for a run to:
5720 → 5770 → 5802 (next major upside magnets if the squeeze continues).
📌 Key Control Zone for $NQ: 19971–20149
This is the zone to watch:
Hold above 19971: Squeeze continues.
Break and hold above 20149: Sets up a push toward 20500+.
Lose 19971: Signals weakness and can lead to a fast test of 19800 → 19636.
📚 Educational Insight – Large Ranges Create Opportunity
When a market posts a huge range like yesterday’s 200+ pt move, it expands the reference framework:
More levels = more opportunity, but also more traps.
Let the market come to the levels, then react to what price does at the level – not before.
These ranges provide clear inflection zones, but the key is confirmation from:
Bar closes
Reactions to midpoints
Behavior around value zones
Don’t get caught chasing. The second move is usually the better one.
🛠Trade Plan Scenarios for Today
📌 Scenario 1 – Breakout & Continuation
Price holds above 5639 / 5616
Upside continuation to 5697 → 5720
Use dips to support zones for measured long entries
📌 Scenario 2 – Failed Breakout & Retracement
Price loses 5639 → triggers test of 5616 / 5585
Break below 5561 = momentum shifts to sellers
Target back to 5531 or even 5473 if the move accelerates
📌 Scenario 3 – Range Develops Between 5616 and 5697
Expect balance behavior, wait for breakout
Use edge-to-edge setups within range
Watch for fakeouts and failed breakouts at highs/lows
🔎 Final Thoughts
Buyers have momentum, but sellers haven’t gone away.
Above 5639, bulls stay in control and more upside is likely.
Below 5616, things get trickier and could trap longs.
✅ Stay patient, let the market come to your level, and trade with confirmation.
✅ Remember: volatility works both ways—big gains or big traps.