📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers – Breakdown in Motion, Sellers in Control
📊 Power Pivots:
ES: 5941
NQ: 21358
🧭 Market Recap – Shorts Paying Off, Sellers Pressing Into Close
The rollover we were anticipating is finally here—and the short positioning from yesterday is working. Both ES and NQ broke below their respective control zones: 5941 and 21370. That shift in structure has given sellers the clear edge.
ES continues to show relative weakness, trading below 5935 and testing deeper supports faster than NQ. But with both indices dipping, it signals that the selling is broad-based, not just rotation.
📌 Key Levels Into the Close
🔻 Downside Targets
ES: 5915 → 5925–5930 (support shelf)
NQ: 21270 → 21300 (structural demand)
If price gets into these zones, watch for potential bear traps—especially late in the session.
🔼 Upside Reclaim Zones
ES: 5935
NQ: 21350–21358
Closes below these levels confirm seller strength. Closes above suggest possible short-term reversal setups.
📍 Power Hour Scenarios
📍 Scenario 1: Hold Below 5935 / 21350 → Bearish Close
If price fails to reclaim these zones, sellers will close the session in control, setting up potential continuation overnight.
📉 Strategy: Lean short on weak bounces. Protect profits if price hesitates at 5915 / 21270—possible trap zones.
📍 Scenario 2: Short-Covering Rally Back Above Power Pivots
Price reclaims 5935 / 21358 and traps late sellers → squeezes back toward 5950–5957.
📈 Strategy: Only long with confirmation—look for exhaustion at lows, reclaim candle, and volume uptick.
📍 Scenario 3: Range Coil into Close
Price stabilizes between 5925–5941 and 21300–21358. Post-breakdown digestion zone.
⚖️ Strategy: Fade edges. Watch for next move in the final 10 minutes or overnight Globex.
📚 Auction Theory Insight – Momentum Favors the Side with Both Indices Aligned
Yesterday, ES and NQ were rotating strength back and forth. Today, they’re both dipping—that alignment gives sellers real momentum.
When both auctions agree, conviction builds.
But remember: strong down moves often set up bear traps late in the day. If buyers absorb into 5915 / 21270 and rally hard, that would be your first clue of trapped sellers covering.
🔚 Final Thoughts – Bearish Bias Into Close, But Watch for Traps
Close below 5935 / 21350 = sellers remain in control
Watch 5915 and 21270 for bear trap reversal attempts
If price can’t bounce meaningfully, expect more pressure overnight
Let price do the talking. Don’t force the move. Stay tactical.
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