Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Fade Then Follow Through — FOMC Reversal In Play
📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Fade Then Follow Through — FOMC Reversal In Play
⚡ Power Pivots
$ES: 6046
$NQ: 21975
These levels acted as hard resistance early in the session — and if sellers want to keep momentum, they must remain that way into the close.
📈 Market Recap
The FOMC script played out to perfection.
✅ First move: A sharp upside spike
✅ Second move: The reversal — and it hit hard
Our short zone at 22055–22065 held like a fortress — and that setup is now paying off with nearly 150 points of reward on tightly defined risk.
This is why we plan the structure, not the headlines.
$ES followed the same playbook, albeit with shallower dips — a sign of relative strength compared to NQ.
But both markets aligned in one thing: the reaction to resistance was decisive.
Now we assess whether this move has follow-through power, or if it’s just another FOMC fade that stalls out.
📚 Auction Market Theory Insight – Structure Still Intact
The market wanted to break down earlier today — and NQ did, with more aggression.
But ES? It’s been more resilient, holding higher lows and compressing toward key inflection points.
That tells us one thing: This is still a distribution phase — not a clean trend down.
We’re not yet in initiative selling mode.
Price rejected from highs — yes.
But without a decisive close below 6030 ($ES) and below 21906–21928 ($NQ), this market still has the potential to reverse higher into the close or overnight.
This is the battle zone:
→ Weak bounce and fail = follow-through selling
→ Reclaim and close strong = trap completed, squeeze begins
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
$ES:
🔹 Resistance: 6046 → 6057 → 6080
🔹 Support: 6030 → 6005 → 5970
🔹 Breakdown Signal: Clean bar close below 6030 = opens door to continuation
🔹 Squeeze Signal: Reclaim 6057 → target daily highs
$NQ:
🔹 Resistance: 21975 → 22022 → 22065
🔹 Support: 21906 → 21828 → 21757
🔹 Breakdown Signal: Bar closes below 21906–28 = confirms further downside
🔹 Squeeze Signal: Reclaim 22022 → retest highs at 22140+
🧠 Scenario Planning
Scenario 1 – Bearish Follow Through
🔸 $ES fails 6030
🔸 $NQ breaks 21906 and closes weak
🔸 Target: $ES 6005, $NQ 21757 and possibly 21622
🔸 Confirmation: Weak bounce into resistance, sellers re-engage with volume
Scenario 2 – Afternoon Trap & Squeeze
🔸 Price reclaims 6057 / 22022
🔸 Squeeze accelerates toward daily highs
🔸 Target: 6080 / 22140+
🔸 Confirmation: Volume build, fast reclaim, shorts squeezed at session high zones
Scenario 3 – Range Hold Into Close
🔸 Market holds 6030–6057 and 21906–22022
🔸 Rotation persists, no clear winner into close
🔸 Overnight or Friday breakout becomes more likely
🔸 Confirmation: Overlapping bars, delta fade, balanced order flow
📖 Execution Note – This Is the Window
FOMC days end with position rebalancing.
The last hour is where institutions commit.
They’ve digested the statement, the press conference, and the reaction.
If we’re going to get a signal for Thursday, it’ll show in the next 45 minutes.
📌 Watch 5m and 30m closes near the zones above
📌 Watch for volume confirmation — or divergence
📌 If price compresses, prepare for a volatility burst into the final 10 mins
🎙️ Final Thought – Control the Narrative, Don’t Chase It
You were ready for the short.
You executed with structure.
Now: let the auction tell you if this is the start of something bigger — or just a one-day liquidation shake.
“FOMC creates confusion. Structure creates clarity. Let price prove it.”
Stay tactical. Stay focused. Let them show you what matters.