Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Bulls Hit Targets, But 5841 is the Final Boss
📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers – Bulls Hit Targets, But 5841 is the Final Boss
📊 Power Pivots:
ES: 5832
NQ: 21039
🧭 Market Recap – Picture-Perfect Execution, But Momentum is Now in Question
Markets followed our script to the tick today.
Overnight confirmation of our short thesis sent ES and NQ into a deep flush.
Open pivots at 5784 (ES) and 20807 (NQ) acted as firm support.
Morning session reversed hard into our upside targets: ES 5841 and NQ 20950–21000.
This was spot-on analysis from premarket through RTH open. But now comes the hard part: conviction.
Price is hesitating at 5841, a zone we flagged as critical. This isn’t just a technical line—it’s a psychological ceiling, and how price behaves here tells us whether we’re setting up for another breakout leg or an exhaustion fade.
📌 Key Levels Into the Close
🔼 Upside Breakout Zones
ES: 5841 → 5860 (yesterday’s close) → 5901
NQ: 21060 → 21140 → 21300
If bulls punch through this ceiling and hold above 5860, it signals the market is attempting to retrace the entire selloff.
🔻 Downside Rejection Zones
ES: 5832 → 5805 → 5784
NQ: 21000 → 20920 → 20807
Failure at 5841 / 21060 opens the door for sellers to fade the move and retest the morning pivot supports.
📍 Power Hour Scenarios
📍 Scenario 1: Break and Hold Above 5841 / 21060 → Short-Covering Squeeze
If buyers gain control, watch for acceleration into 5860 → 5901.
📈 Strategy: Trade continuation only on strength. Let price reclaim and confirm. Don’t chase unless tempo supports it.
📍 Scenario 2: Stall and Reject 5841 / 21060 → Fade Back Into Value
If bulls fail here, this turns into a clean look-above-and-fail. Sellers could push price back toward 5805 / 5784.
📉 Strategy: Watch for reversal patterns and VWAP rejection. Use short-term bias shifts for fast fades.
📍 Scenario 3: Close Near Pivots → Balance Sets Up Next Week
Price grinds sideways between Power Pivots and open levels.
⚖️ Strategy: Keep risk tight. Avoid trading late-day noise unless a clear setup forms.
📚 Educational Insight – What the Market “Should” Do vs. What It’s “Attempting” to Do
One of the most dangerous thoughts a trader can have:
“This should dump from here.”
Reality? The market doesn’t care what should happen. It cares about what it's attempting—and whether it's succeeding.
Here’s how to break it down:
Attempt: Market is trying to reclaim lost ground (5841+).
Success: It holds above, builds value, and expands.
Failure: It rejects, stalls, and falls back into value.
The biggest moves happen when the market’s intent and execution align. Until then, it's just noise.
Stay objective. Read structure. Let the market tell you what’s real.
🔚 Final Thoughts – This is Where Price Makes a Statement
We nailed today’s short setup, bounce levels, and upside targets.
Now, 5841 / 21060 is the test.
Reclaim = short squeeze.
Reject = confirmation of bearish control.
Let price prove it. Not your bias. Not your feelings.
Stay sharp. Stay accountable. Stay professional.
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