Power Hour Update for Subscribers

Drill Down or Launchpad? The Inflection Point into the Close

📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Drill Down or Launchpad? The Inflection Point into the Close

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⚡ Power Pivots:

• $ES: 6032

• $NQ: 21917

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📈 Market Recap

Today was a test of conviction — both sides had moments of control, but only one came back with initiative.

• Early session dips looked like the beginning of liquidation

• $ES tagged 6005, and $NQ briefly pressed into 21760s

• But those dips were liquidity grabs, not trend initiations

Buyers re-entered aggressively:

• $ES reclaimed 6015, then 6040, and is now pressing even higher

• $NQ pushed through 21840, now sitting near 21950

This was a classic shakeout-then-squeeze structure —

Real sellers got paid on the early dip
But staying short through the recovery was costly

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🔍 Auction Market Theory Insight – Reversal Within Structure

We’ve talked all week about Double Distribution Environments, and today reinforced the principles:

• The lower distribution (6005–6015) rejected

• Price re-entered the upper distribution (6015–6040)

• The market found imbalance above, not below

In auction terms:
This is a failed breakdown, followed by responsive buying and now an initiative breakout test.

Think of it like this:

Value was attempted lower…
It was denied…
Now price is retesting acceptance at the top of range — with pressure

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🎯 Key Levels

Upside Targets:

• $ES: 6040 → 6070 → 6089

• $NQ: 21971 → 22076 → 22149 (multi-year high zone)

Downside Support:

• $ES: 6015 → 6005

• $NQ: 21860 → 21770

Breakout Bias:

• A daily close above 6040 ($ES) or 21930 ($NQ) confirms intent for more upside into tomorrow or early next week

• But beware: reversals at highs are common after big moves — especially on Thursdays into Friday

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⚠️ Structural Notes

• Reclaim of Structure:
  Buyers needed to reclaim 6015 and 21840 — they did. That matters.

• Inefficient Auction Conditions:
  The double distribution means the auction isn’t complete — it’s exploratory
  → Can lead to wild, extended moves, especially in low-volume, emotional markets

• Shakeouts Create Opportunity:
  Today’s early dip wasn’t failure — it was preparation. It cleared out weak hands and rebalanced the auction.

This isn’t a trending day by the book —
It’s a real market move, complete with traps, tests, and validation

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🧠 Scenario Mapping

Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation

• $ES holds above 6032, $NQ holds above 21917

• Pushes through 6040 → Targets 6070 / 22100+

• Watch for momentum continuation into overnight session

Scenario 2 – Failed Breakout

• Price loses 6015 / 21860 into the close

• Could retrace to 6005 / 21770

• Sets up another failed squeeze → trap long liquidation

Scenario 3 – Gap-and-Fade Trap

• Market closes at or near highs

• Gaps up overnight

• Fades tomorrow morning → backfills → potentially rotates into Friday

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🎙️ Final Word – The Market Just Made a Decision

This wasn’t luck.
This was structure playing out — at a key inflection zone.

We’re either about to:

✅ Launch into a new leg higher
🚫 Or trap everyone chasing and unwind fast

The edge comes from being prepared for both.

This is why we map structure.
This is why we stay disciplined.

📌 Let structure lead.
📌 Let price confirm.
📌 Know your zones — and don’t flinch.

🎯 Stay sharp, traders. This market is alive.