Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Pop and Drop — Execution Perfect, Now What?
📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Pop and Drop — Execution Perfect, Now What?
⚡ Power Pivots:
$ES: 6039
$NQ: 21955
📈 Market Recap
Today played out like a textbook liquidity trap — and we were ready for it.
→ Price spiked into our high conviction zones:
🔺 $ES: 6080
🔺 $NQ: 22140s
→ Then came the unwind.
Heavy selling stepped in almost immediately after tagging those levels — triggering a sharp fade and confirming what we expected: it was a pop-and-drop setup, not a breakout.
Right now, $ES is trading near 6030s and $NQ near 21920–21890. The tone is heavy, and momentum is shifting.
But remember — this market has routinely faked breakdowns only to re-squeeze. That means we need confirmation into the close.
📚 Auction Market Theory Insight – From Trap to Breakdown?
The price action today confirmed that sellers are still present above 6053/22022 — and responsive selling is being respected.
But here’s the key:
→ Responsive selling is not the same as initiative selling.
→ Unless the market breaks below and holds, this could just be another rotation inside the same high-volume zone we've been stuck in.
We are now back inside a multi-session control zone:
$NQ: 21906 → 21971 → 22149
$ES: 6030 → 6053 → 6080
To break out of this compression, sellers must close below the lower end — especially 21906–28 on NQ. If not, the squeeze risk returns fast.
🎯 Key Levels
$ES:
🔹 Resistance: 6053 → 6080
🔹 Support: 6030 → 6005 → 5970
📌 Must stay below 6053 into close to keep sellers in control
$NQ:
🔹 Resistance: 22022 → 22140
🔹 Support: 21906 → 21880 → 21757
📌 Close below 21906 = early signal of a transition out of the 21971–22149 composite
📖 Educational Cue – The Power of Compression Zones
High-volume nodes like 21971–22149 and 6030–6053 trap both sides.
→ When price compresses inside these zones, it means the market is undecided.
→ When price escapes with momentum, it means the stronger side has finally committed.
That’s why we watch bar closes at zone edges — especially the 5m and 30m.
→ Strong closes below 21906 or 6030 = conviction
→ Weak wicks or quick reclaims = trap
🧠 Scenario Branches
1. Breakdown & Expansion
Trigger: Clean bar closes below 6030 / 21906
Target: $ES 6005 → 5970; $NQ 21880 → 21757
Confirmation: Lower highs, responsive selling turns initiative, VWAP stays overhead
2. Reclaim & Squeeze
Trigger: Reclaim of 6053 / 22022 into close
Target: Revisit 6070–6080 / 22140
Confirmation: Delta flips positive, reclaim of VWAP, fast push through resistance
3. Compression Continues (Pin Inside Zone)
Trigger: Price holds between 6030–6053 and 21906–22022
Target: None (range), potential trap builds into tomorrow
Confirmation: Mixed structure, neutral delta, bar overlap
🔚 Final Execution Cue
We anticipated the move — now we manage the fallout.
Sellers had their shot — and they landed it.
Now they must defend and follow through.
If they fail, the bounce can rip.
✅ You had the trade.
🚫 Don’t get caught in the trap after the win.
📌 Final Thoughts – You Knew This Setup. You Owned It.
When a market rewards preparedness this clearly, it tells you something:
Your read is aligned.
But remember:
The real skill isn’t just knowing the setup — it’s managing what comes after.
Today’s close matters.
We either get breakdown confirmation…
Or the cycle repeats again.
“Don’t predict. Prepare. Your edge isn’t in calling tops — it’s in recognizing who’s in control… and when that control slips.”