Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Last-Hour Reversal Risk & Weekly Close Looms
📢 Power Hour Update for Subscribers – Last-Hour Reversal Risk & Weekly Close Looms
📊 Power Pivots:
$ES: 5683
$NQ: 20144
Power Hour kicks off with a modest rally attempt, but the day has been defined by classic “pop and drop” conditions. Early strength took price to 5710, front-running our 5715 resistance call—then it quickly rejected and rotated all the way back down to test Globex lows around 5665.
Since then, price has chopped in a compressed intraday range, keeping most players on edge. There was no follow-through from buyers, but also no real push from sellers either. That’s a textbook “inside day”—a day where both sides fail to take control.
📌 Key Close Levels to Watch
$ES 5697: Still the make-or-break level into the weekly close. A close above it signals bullish continuation early next week. A close below says this week’s highs may have been exhaustion.
$NQ 20212: Price attempted to hold this level through the session. Closing above signals strength into Monday. A close below and it opens the door for sellers to test 20100 → 19971.
⚠️ Reversal Risk in Final 10 Minutes
The last 10 minutes of the trading day—especially on Fridays—have produced sharp, often algorithmic reversals. These reversals tend to go against the dominant move from the final 60 minutes, trapping late entries and flipping sentiment heading into the weekend.
We’ve seen this many times:
Up into 3:45, then sharp drop into the close.
Down into 3:45, then vertical ramp higher into the close.
Keep positions light late in the session unless you’re already in and locked.
📖 Educational Insight – Positioning into a Weekly Close
Friday’s final hour is about hedging, rebalancing, and reducing exposure—especially in environments with headline risk, like ongoing trade tensions or policy shifts.
What to watch:
Sharp moves that appear out of nowhere → Often tied to institutional position closing.
No-follow-through reversals → A sign algos are controlling the tape.
Low volume rallies or fades → Typically not sustainable but can distort technicals.
📌 Final Takeaway
5697 remains the key battlefield for $ES. If bulls want to control next week, they must close above.
If we close below 5680s and especially below 5665, Monday could open with immediate selling pressure.
$NQ needs to defend 20212 or risk slipping toward 19971 over the next session.
Watch the last 10 minutes carefully—expect a move, and prepare for the reversal.
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