π’ Power Hour Update for Subscribers
π― Double Top or Just a Pause? Sellers Finally Fire Back
β‘ Power Pivots:
$ES: 6197
$NQ: 22655
π Recap β Bull Targets Hit, Then a Hard Reversal
The market followed our script to the tick:
β $ES tagged 6230
β $NQ hit 22808
π¨ Then came a sharp and fast reversal
By Power Hour, price had dropped hard:
$ES down to 6170
$NQ touched 22565
Both of our short setups β the 6230 breakdown and the NQ 22808 short β delivered huge trades. That was high-conviction trading in real time.
π Auction Market Theory Insight β Potential Double Top Behavior
This could be the beginning of something more significant:
We made a new all-time high, looked above, and then failed.
Thatβs a textbook βlook above and failβ pattern β which often precedes major distribution or long liquidations.
It's too early to call it a confirmed double top, but all major tops begin as local failures.
If we close the day below the prior ATH levels, this will be a warning shot to aggressive bulls.
π Reclaim Zones for the Bulls to Regain Control:
$ES: 6197
$NQ: 22655
A daily close above these levels would also mean a weekly close above them β a powerful bullish signal if buyers can pull it off.
If they can't⦠it opens the door for deeper pullbacks next week.
π Downside Watch Levels:
$ES: 6162 β 6138
$NQ: 22530 β 22405
These are key balance zones and short-term memory spots from earlier this week. Holding them = healthy. Losing them = bear fuel.
π― Scenario Planning:
Scenario 1 β Late Day Reclaim and Squeeze
Bulls reclaim 6197 / 22655 before the close
Daily and weekly close above β bullish continuation Monday
Targets: 6213 / 22730, possibly higher
Scenario 2 β Sellers Lock It Down
Price stays below reclaim zones
Daily close confirms breakdown from ATHs
Opens the door to 6125 / 22405 retests early next week
Scenario 3 β Chop and Coil Into the Weekend
Price ranges between 6170β6200 ($ES) and 22530β22655 ($NQ)
No strong signal until Monday
π‘ Pro Tip: End on a High Note
Todayβs trades worked. You nailed the entries. You read the structure.
Now protect the gains.
β
Trail stops
β
Book partials
β
Donβt overtrade into the close
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Let the market come to you next week
ποΈ Final Thought β Every Top Starts With One Failure
Maybe this is the top, maybe not β but structure is talking.
If bulls canβt reclaim, sellers may finally be gaining the initiative.
Stay nimble. Stay objective.
And always let structure, not emotion, lead the way.
β Theory Affinity Team