π’ Power Hour Update for Subscribers
Reclaim and Reload β The Shakeout Before the Squeeze
β‘ Power Pivots:
$ES: 6025
$NQ: 21867
π Market Recap
The morning session gave us exactly what these double distribution environments are known for β
Fake breaks, messy rotations, sharp reversals.
Early dip β Buyers stepped in at structure
Prices rallied hard, reclaiming 6015 ($ES) and 21840 ($NQ)
It wasnβt clean β and thatβs how real auctions unfold: imperfect, reactive, reflexive
These weren't trending cleanly β they were liquidation traps, cleared out weak longs, and set the stage for a powerful recovery.
π Auction Market Theory Insight β Rejection β Reentry
What weβre witnessing is a rejection of the lower end of the distribution, and a re-entry back into the upper mode.
This behavior signals that the imbalance was temporary β not conviction selling.
Now price is back at value... but with a momentum tailwind.
In auction terms:
Price dipped below value, found no acceptance, and returned with urgency.
Thatβs initiative buyers reclaiming control.
π― Key Levels
Upside Targets:
6040 β the upper edge of the upper distribution
$NQ: 21906 β 21928 β prior auction zones and supply reaction zones
Downside Support:
$ES: 6015 β 6005 (intra-day structure)
$NQ: 21800 β 21770
Breakout Bias:
A daily close above 6040 / 21930 strengthens the case for a continued squeeze overnight, possibly targeting 6080 / 22140 into the weekβs end.
If we gap up overnight, beware: those open gaps often get faded in the first hour β especially on Fridays or pre-news.
β οΈ Structure Notes
Double Distribution Environment
β Price is trading above both distributions
β Meaning: The auction is inefficient, and that can create extreme movesReclaim of Value
β The reclaim of 6015 and 21840 is confirmation of failed breakdown, not just random movement
This is what a failed liquidation event looks like:
Shorts get squeezed, longs hesitate, and price expands faster than either side expects.
π§ Scenario Planning
Scenario 1 β Bullish Follow Through
Price holds above 6025 and 21867
$ES pushes to 6040 and through
$NQ tags 21928 and sets sights on 22100+
Scenario 2 β False Breakout & Fade
Price closes back below 6015 or 21840
Sellers may push back to 6005 / 21770 zones
The market stays rotational through FOMC or news event
Scenario 3 β Trap Set into Tomorrow
Daily closes at highs
Gaps up overnight
Fades hard at tomorrow's open β backfill β retrace
ποΈ Final Thought β This Is How Real Markets Move
This wasnβt a textbook breakout.
It was real price action β imperfect, reactionary, and full of signals if you were watching the right zones.
We donβt need to predict the market.
We need to listen to it.
Today, the market spoke clearly:
"Nice try, sellers. Weβre not done just yet."
π Let structure lead.
π Let price confirm.
π Donβt get shaken β get sharper.